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Risk Index — Q1 2026OngoingWorsening

Oregon, Ohio — Capacity LLC Data Center

City of Oregon, Lucas County, Ohio

28/100

High Risk

Last updated 2026-03-29

Trajectory evidence: Anti-DC mayor elected November 2025 with 63% of vote. City administrator resigned January 2026. Constitutional amendment to ban DCs >25 MW advancing toward November 2026 ballot.

Composite Score28/100

High Risk

Dimension Breakdown

Four dimensions that determine entitlement feasibility.

Regulatory Risk

10/30

No formal moratorium but functionally hostile. Development agreement required discretionary council approval. 3-2 vote with one abstention produced legal dispute over validity. 15-18 Ohio municipalities enacted or considering moratoriums.

Infrastructure Readiness

8/25

828 MW of on-site natural gas generation proposed because grid power is insufficient. PJM documented capacity shortages starting 2026/2027 delivery year. Data centers account for 97% of PJM load growth.

Opposition Density

5/25

Opposition changed political leadership: incumbent Mayor Seferian defeated by Salander with 63% of vote. Seferian attributed his loss to data center support. Residents packed town hall at Fassett Junior High.

Approval Timeline

5/20

Proposed 2024-2025, remains in contingency/extension phase as of March 2026. Extension ordinance legally contested. Ohio constitutional amendment could ban DCs statewide.

Key Findings

What the record shows.

3-2 vote with one abstention on extension ordinance produced legal dispute over whether it passed.

WTOL: Split vote among council

Anti-DC mayoral candidate won with 63% of the vote in November 2025.

13ABC: Oregon voters elect new mayor

Ohio constitutional amendment to ban DCs >25 MW certified by AG on March 16, 2026.

Ballotpedia: Ohio Prohibition of Data Center Construction Amendment

15-18 Ohio municipalities enacted or considering data center moratoriums.

The Statehouse News Bureau

Key Officials

The decision-makers on record.

Mayor Steven Salander

Mayor (elected November 2025)

Opposed

Documented Record

Elected on anti-data center platform with 63% of vote, defeating incumbent Seferian.

Documented position based on public record.

Opposition Profile

Who is organizing.

2 signalsmedium infrastructure

Residents packed Fassett Junior High School town hall

November 2025 mayoral election functioned as de facto data center referendum

Timeline

How it unfolded.

November 5, 2025

Anti-DC candidate Salander elected mayor with 63%.

January 31, 2026

City administrator Joel Mazur resigned.

March 16, 2026

Ohio AG certified constitutional amendment to ban DCs >25 MW.

Known Risks

What can go wrong.

Anti-DC mayor elected with 63% of vote

Extension ordinance legally contested

Ohio constitutional amendment advancing to ballot

15-18 municipalities with moratoriums statewide

Recommendation

High Risk — Score 28/100

High Risk. New anti-DC mayor, legally contested extension, and Ohio constitutional amendment create compounding risk layers.

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