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Risk Index — Q1 2026OngoingWorsening

King George County — Amazon Data Center

King George County, King George County, Virginia

34/100

High Risk

Last updated 2026-03-29

Trajectory evidence: Virginia General Assembly considered 60+ data center bills in 2026. New Governor Spanberger pledged scrutiny. Active downzoning and litigation.

Composite Score34/100

High Risk

Dimension Breakdown

Four dimensions that determine entitlement feasibility.

Regulatory Risk

12/30

Rezoning from agricultural required. County approved Dahlgren West unanimously but downzoned Amazon parcels. BZA denied vested rights request 4-0. Active circuit court litigation.

Infrastructure Readiness

10/25

Dominion Energy territory but NOT in core Northern Virginia DC infrastructure corridor. County considering BESS for additional power. Grid capacity uncertain for multi-hundred-MW loads.

Opposition Density

8/25

Politically effective opposition: anti-DC candidates won November 2023 board elections, leading to performance agreement cancellation, downzoning initiation, and board infighting. Horti-Group USA filed lawsuit challenging GEV approval.

Approval Timeline

4/20

Multi-year process risk: rezoning approved September 2023, performance agreement approved December 2023, canceled January 2024, downzoning initiated April 2024, BZA denial March 2025, circuit court petition April 2025.

Key Findings

What the record shows.

Board of Supervisors initiated downzoning of Amazon's 893 acres from industrial back to agricultural in April 2024.

Fredericksburg Free Press

BZA voted 4-0 to deny Amazon's vested rights determination request in March 2025.

FXB Advance: BZA denies Amazon

Amazon filed circuit court appeal in April 2025 challenging the BZA decision.

FXB Advance: Amazon Files Appeal

Board Chair T.C. Collins publicly signaled willingness to "go to war" with Amazon.

Fredericksburg Free Press

Key Officials

The decision-makers on record.

T.C. Collins

Board Chair (2024)

Opposed

Documented Record

Publicly signaled willingness to "go to war" with Amazon. Told successor Board Chair to "go to hell" at August 2025 meeting.

Documented position based on public record.

Opposition Profile

Who is organizing.

4 signalshigh infrastructure

Anti-DC candidates won November 2023 board elections

Planning Commission voted 6-2 against GEV recommendation

Horti-Group USA filed lawsuit challenging GEV approval

AWS withdrew from Louisa County (adjacent Virginia county)

Timeline

How it unfolded.

September 1, 2023

Board approved rezoning of Amazon parcels from agricultural to industrial.

January 1, 2024

New board canceled performance agreement with Amazon.

April 1, 2024

Board initiated downzoning of 893 acres back to agricultural.

March 25, 2025

BZA voted 4-0 to deny Amazon vested rights request.

April 24, 2025

Amazon filed circuit court appeal.

Known Risks

What can go wrong.

Active litigation over vested rights and downzoning

Not in core Northern Virginia DC infrastructure corridor

Anti-DC board elected and actively hostile

60+ data center bills in Virginia General Assembly

Recommendation

High Risk — Score 34/100

High Risk. Active litigation, hostile board, downzoning proceedings, and statewide legislative uncertainty.

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