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Mesa, Maricopa County, Arizona

Mesa / Maricopa County — Arizona

72/100Low Risk
Worseninghigh confidence

Last updated: 2026-03-29

Thesis

Mesa has established DC zoning framework (Ordinance 5957) and SRP infrastructure commitment. 15 DCs built/approved/proposed on 1,500 acres. However, trajectory is Worsening due to statewide tax incentive repeal efforts and adjacent city rejections.

Four-Dimension Breakdown

How this market scores

Regulatory Risk20/30

Ordinance 5957 (July 2025) created dedicated DC use category. DCs prohibited except in PAD overlay with GI/LI/PEP/HI base zone. Waiver available for pre-existing parcels. 6-0 council approval.

Mesa Ordinance 5957KJZZ: Mesa Council approves DC zoning rules
Infrastructure Readiness21/25

SRP provides dedicated infrastructure: Prickly Pear 69kV switchyard (for Meta), 230kV double-circuit transmission. Google 430+ MW carbon-free energy. SRP set new demand record.

SRP press release: infrastructure for MesaE+E Leader: Google and SRP clean energy
Opposition Density16/25

Present but has not organized into cohesive coalition or blocked any project. CyrusOne approved 4-3. Google DC received low marks from P&Z Board but was approved. Chandler (adjacent city) unanimously rejected a DC — signal effect.

Mesa Tribune: Despite opposition, Mesa board OKs big DCFox Business: Chandler votes against AI data center
Approval Timeline15/20

PAD overlay requires City Council approval (discretionary). EdgeCore approved on consent agenda January 2024 (pre-Ordinance 5957). Post-5957, EdgeCore modification approved 6-0 in March 2026. Track record of efficient processing.

Arizona Technology Council: EdgeCore clears checkpointMesa Tribune: Re-sized DC sails to approval

Evidence

Key findings

Mesa adopted Ordinance 5957 (July 2025) creating dedicated DC use category requiring PAD overlay in industrial zones.

Mesa Ordinance 5957

Governor Hobbs called for repeal of Arizona DC tax incentive program: "The incentives have done their job."

KAWC

15 data centers built, approved, or proposed on 1,500 acres in Mesa in under a decade.

KJZZ

Chandler, Arizona City Council unanimously voted against an AI data center — signal for Mesa.

Fox Business

Incentives

Available programs

Arizona Computer Data Center Program (ARS 41-1519)

Transaction privilege tax and use tax exemptions for qualifying DCs investing $25M+. Up to 10 years of exemptions. Governor Hobbs and Rep. Carter pursuing repeal/sunset.

Source

Google $1B Mesa DC with $16M property tax break over 25 years

Government Property Lease Excise Tax arrangement approved 2019.

Source

Known Risks

No market is risk-free. Here's what to watch.

The credibility of a favorable score depends on honest risk disclosure. These risks are documented in public records.

WORSENING trajectory — Governor calling for tax incentive repeal

Adjacent Chandler unanimously rejected a DC

NBC News investigation questioned water-intensive DCs in desert

Google DC received low marks from P&Z Board on one application

Data Gaps

Transparent about what we do not yet know.

  • Water usage data for Mesa DCs not available at municipal level

Recommendation

Standard process expected but monitor closely. Mesa's favorable score may degrade as statewide tax incentive repeal efforts advance.

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